Monday, June 13, 2011

Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

If you have a radio or TV you better listen very closely to what they are going to release in the news.  We are going to have very bad storms in this cycle.  Well we have already seen some of these and it not middle summer yet.   Here is the rest of some of the information cycle 24 is not as benign as once thought, they are advising that this could have effect on our x10 magnet on the Earth.  This will be ever worse over the next year in weather and sun bursts.   So again folks listen close to the news 06/16/2011 they are going to release more detail on this situation is not good news. 

BREAKING NEWS: Major Result on Solar Cycle 25 to be Announced
A major result on the future of the 11-year sunspot cycle will be announced at a news briefing on Tuesday, 14 June 2011, at 11 a.m. MDT (17:00 UTC) by scientists at the 2011 meeting of the Solar Physics Division (SPD) of the American Astronomical Society (AAS) in Las Cruces, New Mexico. Media are invited to attend the briefing in person or via media telecon.

(Part II) Ancient Wisdom Overshadows Modern Science
One of the best known prophecies/predictions of our Mayan elders is the message of a changing paradigm. Websters definition of 'paradigm': One that serves as a pattern or model. A set or list of all the inflectional forms. A set of assumptions, concepts, values, and practices that constitutes a way of viewing reality for the community that shares them, especially in an intellectual discipline.

Jun 13, 2011 - 1:28:36 AM


Tonight On Coast to Coast AM - Cycle 24/Cycle 25 Report

Join me tonight along with George Noory and find out what will be disclosed officially tomorrow by joint forces of the entire US solar society which includes NASA, AAS, NOAA and just about every scientific body that studies our solar system and galaxy. I will be on for the first full hour - probably around 15 after the hour which is 10:15 PM (Pacific) 1:15 AM (Eastern). Radio Station List: http://bit.ly/clyNsc
Jun 13, 2011 - 8:35:05 PM



Solar Flare 3-day Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
Last 75 Reports Today's Space Weather Space Weather Now

Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Updated 2011 Jun 13 2200 UTC

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 164 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Jun 2011

IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  12/2100Z
to 13/2100Z:  Solar activity was at low levels. A C1 x-ray event was
observed at 13/0055Z from an area of enhanced brightening on the
east limb near N20. Region 1234 (S16E07) remained the only spotted
region on the disk. The region produced a few B-class events, the
largest a B9 x-ray event at 13/0616Z. Region 1234 indicated little
change over the past 24 hours and remained a simple B-type, bi-polar
group. A partial halo CME was observed lifting off the SE limb,
first observed in C2 SOHO LASCO imagery at 13/0424Z, and later in C3
imagery at 13/0454Z. The plane-of-sky velocity was estimated at near
600 km/s. The CME appeared to originate from a bright area of plage
centered near old Region 1223 (S17, L=125), first viewed in STEREO-B
EUVI imagery at 13/0355Z as an area of northward surging.

IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (14 - 16 June) with a chance for an
isolated C-class flare.

IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. ACE solar
wind data indicated the continued presence of a coronal hole high
speed stream (CH HSS) with wind speeds averaging about 450 km/s. The
greater than 10 MeV proton flux at geosynchronous orbit remained
enhanced with a maximum flux reading of 4.8 pfu at 13/1010Z.

IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels for day one (14 June)
with a chance for active levels due to continued CH HSS effects.
Activity is expected to decrease to quiet levels on days two and
three (15 - 16 June) as the CH HSS subsides. The greater than 10 MeV
protons are expected to remain enhanced through 14 June, returning
to background levels by 15 June.

III.  Event Probabilities 14 Jun-16 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     10/01/01
PCAF       green

IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           13 Jun 087
Predicted   14 Jun-16 Jun  089/091/093
90 Day Mean        13 Jun 103

V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 12 Jun  005/009
Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Jun  008/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Jun-16 Jun  008/008-005/005-005/005

VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Jun-16 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/05/05
Minor storm           05/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/10/05
Minor storm           10/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01

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